The Vex Mythoclast is an incredibly pop Exotic Weapon in Destiny 2 right now. Information technology is an Energy Fusion Rifle with an "optimal" time-to-kill speed said to be around .77 seconds, faster than other Destiny ii weapons - including popular hand cannons like Thorn. There'southward just one problem, though: there is only one fashion to earn the Vex Mythoclast, which is by running a sure Vault of Glass raid encounter and destroying the boss Atheon until it drops. Destiny 2 players believe they've solved the odds of this drop, and it's safe to say odds aren't in players' favor.

In an incredible instance of "Doing the Math," Redditor nutty-max wrote upward an extended analysis breaking down what he believes to be the Vex Mythoclast'due south drop rate. He solved this using data pulled from about 10,000 Destiny 2 players' inventories, which were available to peruse via Bungie's API. Using this data, nutty-max came to the conclusion that a histrion's commencement run of Vault of Glass resulted in just a 1% drop rate for the Vex Mythoclast, simply that'due south not the entire story.

Farther analysis led nutty-max to believe that, while the initial run of Vault of Glass may take a drop rate of merely 1%, at that place appears to exist a "bad luck" arrangement in identify to increase players' drib rates over time. If the player returns to Vault of Glass a week later, their odds of acquiring the Vex Mythoclast from Atheon volition increase by .05%. As such, every week will increase the odds by half of a pct.

While at offset this may seem like an overly punishing grind, nutty-max does players a favor and shows how this system can be ameliorate than, say, a flat 5% drop rate for Vex Mythoclast. It's true that the 5% drib charge per unit will be faster overall for the first 6,000 players who find the gun beyond xx runs, but the side by side four,000 may prefer the bad luck system. That's because with the flat five%, it's possible to run 80+ Vault of Glass raids and withal not accept the gun, while the 1% + .05% per week system volition guarantee everyone has their gun within 45 weeks.

Obviously, to most Destiny 2 players, either selection sounds similar a nightmare. The possibility of doing Atheon runs 45 times versus fourscore times is non an attractive possibility either way. Still, it'south somewhat kind of Bungie to choose the option that prevents players from getting extremely bad luck. Possibly nutty-max'south math will persuade some Destiny two players to settle for their Thorn, rather than farming a Vex Mythoclast, in the end.

Destiny 2 is available now on PC, PS4, PS5, Stadia, Xbox One, and Xbox Serial Ten/S.

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